As part of the partnership between SpaceWatch.Global and Prof. Andrew Dempster, we have been granted permission to publish selected articles and texts. This is “Australia: well placed to join the Moon mining race … or is it?”, originally published 15 February 2019 at The Conversation.
It’s 50 years since man first stepped on the Moon. Now the focus is on going back to our nearest orbiting neighbour – not to leave footprints, but to mine the place.
Australia has a well-earned reputation as a mining nation. We are home to some of the largest mining companies (such as Vale, Glencore, Rio Tinto, and BHP), some of the best mine automation, and some of the best mining researchers.
But do we have the drive and determination to be part of any mining exploration of the Moon?
To the Moon
As far as space goes, the Moon is sexy again. Within the past three months:
- the Chinese landed a rover on the Moon’s far side
- NASA announced it is partnering with nine companies to deliver payloads to the Moon, consistent with its new push for more Moon missions
- the Moon Race competition has been announced, looking at entries in four themes: manufacturing, energy, resources, biology
- the European Space Agency (ESA) announced its interest in mining the Moon for water
- a US collaborative study was released about commercial exploitation of water from the Moon.
Not to be outdone, there is an Australian angle. We at the Australian Centre for Space Engineering Research (ACSER) announced our Wilde mission to extract water from the shaded craters at the Moon’s poles.
The Australian angle is important. With the establishment of Australia’s Space Agency, there is a need for us to try to establish niches in space, and it makes sense to exploit our strengths in mining to do so.
This is consistent with one of the agency’s priorities of:
… developing a strategy to position Australia as an international leader in specialised space capabilities.
As the agency’s chief executive Megan Clark told the subscription newsletter Space and Satellite AU earlier this month:
Rio Tinto is developing autonomous drilling and that’s the sort of thing you will need to do on Mars and on the Moon. While we’re drilling for iron ore in the Pilbara, on the Moon they might be looking for basic resources to survive like soils, water and oxygen.
The CSIRO has also put space resource utilisation into its space road map (which can be downloaded here). At each of the two most recent CSIRO Space 2.0 workshops, the attendees voted space resource utilisation (off-Earth mining) to be the most promising opportunity discussed.
The ultimate aim of space mining is to exploit asteroids, the most valuable – known as 511 Davida – is estimated to be worth US$27 quintillion (that’s or 27×1018 or 27 million million million dollars). Another estimate puts that value closer to US$1 trillion, which is still a lot of potential earning.
The opportunities are enormous, but the risks are high too – risks with which mining companies are currently not familiar. The high-level processes are familiar such as exploration (prospecting), mining methods, processing, transportation, but the specifics of doing those things in such challenging conditions – vacuum, microgravity, far from Earth, and so on – are not.
The research we are proposing for the Wilde project aims to start chipping away at reducing those perceived risks, to the point where big miners are more comfortable to invest.
One of the important risks in any mining is the legal framework. Two international treaties apply quite specifically in this case: the Outer Space Treaty of 1967 (ratified by 107 countries and signed by a further 23) and the Moon Agreement (or Moon Treaty, ratified by 18 and signed by a further four) of 1979. Australia has ratified both.
When it comes to trying to determine from these treaties whether space mining is allowed, there are two problems.
First, the treaties were drafted at a time when the problems they were trying to avoid were geopolitical. Space activity was considered to be the realm of nation states and they wanted celestial bodies not to be considered property of any nation states.
Second, commercial exploitation of resources is never explicitly mentioned. (A third problem could be that the treaties have never been tested in court.)
This creates a situation in which the interpretation of the treaties can lead to strong support to both sides of the argument. For instance, Article 1 of the Outer Space Treaty says:
The exploration and use of outer space, including the Moon and other celestial bodies, shall be carried out for the benefit and in the interests of all countries, irrespective of their degree of economic or scientific development, and shall be the province of all mankind.
This could preclude commercial development.
But the same article also states:
Outer space, including the Moon and other celestial bodies, shall be free for exploration and use by all States without discrimination of any kind, on a basis of equality and in accordance with international law, and there shall be free access to all areas of celestial bodies.
This could enshrine the right to use those same resources.
For all humanity
There are similar disputes about what exactly was meant when other articles in that treaty refer to sovereignty, appropriation, exploration and use.
The Moon Treaty deals with scientific and non-scientific use of space resources. Article 11 states that the Moon and other celestial bodies and their resources are the common heritage of all mankind (a less gender-specific phrase would be “all humanity”), and that the exploitation of resources would be governed by an international regime, not defined in the treaty. It also dictates “an equitable sharing by all States Parties in the benefits derived from those resources”.
On the face of it, this may appear to put signatories to this agreement at a disadvantage, by constraining them as to what they can do.
Other global commons such as the high seas, Antarctica and geostationary orbit are well regulated by comparison, and given that the Moon Treaty envisages that “regime” of rules, then it may be time to define that regime, and, as a Treaty signatory with an interest in space resources, Australia has the motivation to lead that discussion.
How that initiative will evolve will depend on various factors, but the next time it gets a public airing, at the Off-Earth Mining Forum in November, we hope to have made significant progress.
The original can be find here – https://theconversation.com/australia-well-placed-to-join-the-moon-mining-race-or-is-it-111746 Rights reserved – this publication is reproduced with permission from Prof. Andrew Dempster.
Bio: Professor Andrew Dempster is Director of the Australian Centre for Space Engineering Research (ACSER) in the School of Electrical Engineering and Telecommunications at the University of New South Wales (UNSW). He has a BE and MEngSc from UNSW and a PhD from University of Cambridge in efficient circuits for signal processing arithmetic. In the late 80s he was system engineer and project manager for the first GPS receiver developed in Australia and has been involved in satellite navigation ever since. His current research interests are in satellite navigation receiver design and signal processing, areas where he has seven patents, and new location technologies. He is leading the development of space engineering research at ACSER.